[TrumpCard]

https://x.com/yarotrof/status/1824453307760357399

Ukraine may be slowing down with their deeper recon, but they are mopping up and consolidating, and isolating Russian forces. This could be another big chunk.

The map in this post suggests that Ukraine is trying to seize the entire valley to the south and west of Snagost (which is as far west as ISW currently marks the Kursk offiensive).  I'm not sure I would call that "mopping up" because it would mark a pretty dramatic increase in the scope of the Kursk offensive.  Nevertheless, if feasible, seizing that land would help with straightening the bulges along the border and provide the Ukrainians with natural defenses to help them secure the land they've seized.

The Ukrainians have indicated by dropping one and at least damaging another bridge that they do not intend to cross that river on offense anytime soon. It is impossible to know if they are doing this to prevent the Russians from easily reinforcing via these bridges or if Ukraine intends to occupy the area all the way up to the river. My supposition is that Ukraine dropped the bridges because it is a good idea either way. They will take what they can, whatever it is. The entire area becomes the "upper limit".

If I'm interpreting the new correctly, it looks like Ukraine took out that second bridge:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/18/europe/ze...index.html

If we believe the ISW map, then Ukraine also at least should have fire control of the railway that comes from the north into the southwestern part of Kursk (to the east of Snogast).  

I wonder whether Russia is going to find it difficult to re-supply troops in that part of Kursk now, or whether the pro-Ukraine media is just trying to give that impression.

[TrumpCard]

https://x.com/yarotrof/status/1824453307760357399

Ukraine may be slowing down with their deeper recon, but they are mopping up and consolidating, and isolating Russian forces. This could be another big chunk.

The map in this post suggests that Ukraine is trying to seize the entire valley to the south and west of Snagost (which is as far west as ISW currently marks the Kursk offiensive).  I'm not sure I would call that "mopping up" because it would mark a pretty dramatic increase in the scope of the Kursk offensive.  Nevertheless, if feasible, seizing that land would help with straightening the bulges along the border and provide the Ukrainians with natural defenses to help them secure the land they've seized.

The Ukrainians have indicated by dropping one and at least damaging another bridge that they do not intend to cross that river on offense anytime soon. It is impossible to know if they are doing this to prevent the Russians from easily reinforcing via these bridges or if Ukraine intends to occupy the area all the way up to the river. My supposition is that Ukraine dropped the bridges because it is a good idea either way. They will take what they can, whatever it is. The entire area becomes the "upper limit".

If I'm interpreting the new correctly, it looks like Ukraine took out that second bridge:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/18/europe/ze...index.html

If we believe the ISW map, then Ukraine also at least should have fire control of the railway that comes from the north into the southwestern part of Kursk (to the east of Snogast).  

I wonder whether Russia is going to find it difficult to re-supply troops in that part of Kursk now, or whether the pro-Ukraine media is just trying to give that impression.