Totally agree with Goose:
"The real problem with any "security guarantee" is that Russia can be 98% (maybe more) certain that none of the countries offering the guarantee will actually fight. If they intended to do so, they would already be doing it."
1) Any "guarantee" offered by Europe with weak Armies is just hand waving.
2) UK and France three weeks ago were strutting around offering 25,000 troops to be stationed inside UKR as the "assurance" -- then they could not define "Rules of Engagement" when they shot at by Russia... Do they shoot back? With what level of ordnance, ammo, air attack, missiles... ? No answer. Path to WW3 with Russia killing NATO member soldiers.
#BadEscalation.
AND, Europe is out of ammo now; they cannot train troops!
3) So, now Europe is left HIRING UKR to fight Russia as the default condition. No Ceasefire, because it cannot be ENFORCED. It is just ink on paper. .
Mess. USA is walking away from a "Quagmire" that Europe lacks der Wille unt the means to deal with.
Cruel Karma for France leaving us IndoChina in the 60s.
No John Wayne to ride in and take out the Bad Guys.
"The real problem with any "security guarantee" is that Russia can be 98% (maybe more) certain that none of the countries offering the guarantee will actually fight. If they intended to do so, they would already be doing it."
1) Any "guarantee" offered by Europe with weak Armies is just hand waving.
2) UK and France three weeks ago were strutting around offering 25,000 troops to be stationed inside UKR as the "assurance" -- then they could not define "Rules of Engagement" when they shot at by Russia... Do they shoot back? With what level of ordnance, ammo, air attack, missiles... ? No answer. Path to WW3 with Russia killing NATO member soldiers.
#BadEscalation.
AND, Europe is out of ammo now; they cannot train troops!
3) So, now Europe is left HIRING UKR to fight Russia as the default condition. No Ceasefire, because it cannot be ENFORCED. It is just ink on paper. .
Mess. USA is walking away from a "Quagmire" that Europe lacks der Wille unt the means to deal with.
Cruel Karma for France leaving us IndoChina in the 60s.
No John Wayne to ride in and take out the Bad Guys.