[Goose]

Do you think Pakistan will continue to nominate Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize?

How do you do BDA on a facility 300 feet underground?

It isn't easy. What you can do is look at where the craters are and how deep they are. Knowing a lot about the geology it MAY be possible to estimate how deep the MOP went before it exploded. That will tell you what you need to know, probably with significant error bars. Another possibility is localizing the depth of the explosion by processing the seismic waves generated by such a large event. I don't know if it is possible in this case, but lots of research went into doing similar things when nuclear tests were conducted underground. Israel may have helped by placing seismographs in appropriate locations. The delay differences at each location can be used to locate the explosion in three dimensions. One does need to know the propagation speed of the wave in the direction of the explosion, but I expect that in Iran oil exploration efforts will provide lots of that data.

The administration has touted the effort as a big success. I suspect that really means that the bombs were on target and that all the aircraft came home. The seismic "solution" could be available in near real time, but any BDA that involves looking at the hole in the ground will take awhile.

[Goose]

Do you think Pakistan will continue to nominate Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize?

How do you do BDA on a facility 300 feet underground?

It isn't easy. What you can do is look at where the craters are and how deep they are. Knowing a lot about the geology it MAY be possible to estimate how deep the MOP went before it exploded. That will tell you what you need to know, probably with significant error bars. Another possibility is localizing the depth of the explosion by processing the seismic waves generated by such a large event. I don't know if it is possible in this case, but lots of research went into doing similar things when nuclear tests were conducted underground. Israel may have helped by placing seismographs in appropriate locations. The delay differences at each location can be used to locate the explosion in three dimensions. One does need to know the propagation speed of the wave in the direction of the explosion, but I expect that in Iran oil exploration efforts will provide lots of that data.

The administration has touted the effort as a big success. I suspect that really means that the bombs were on target and that all the aircraft came home. The seismic "solution" could be available in near real time, but any BDA that involves looking at the hole in the ground will take awhile.