[stopandpop]

Stanford (still?) on the last 4 in line in ESPN’s bracketology. Net ranking has slipped to 42 which would be 11 seed territory - ESPN has the same 11 seed. So best case right now, they are on the bubble and just barely hanging on. The season isn’t a loss yet, but it is on life support.

Incredibly all 4 last in teams are ACC. 3 of the last 6 games are against these last in teams - UVA, VT and Clemson. I expect they have to at least beat Miami, FSU, and SMU plus 1 of the other three games. They may need to win 2 of those 3; so at least 4-2 plus 1-2 ACC tourney wins or 5-1 with 0-1 ACC tourney wins down the stretch or they are likely out. The good news is the 3 tougher games are all at home, and the 3 easier away teams have been terrible at home (2-16).

3-3 I think means having to win the ACC tournament or at least coming really close.

I'm a little less bullish. I think to be safe (conservatively), they need to win all 6 and then lose to a ranked team in the tourney. If they go 5-1, and lose to a ranked team in the tourney, they will be in danger of not making it. If they go 4-2 and take another loss in the tourney, I don't think they make it. 

Can't believe this is where things stand. Bad losses to FGCU, Ga Tech, and Cal really hurt.

The worst of those losses was to FGCU; a team with a new coach and coming into the game with a poor record.  Instead of drawing up plays to get the ball inside where Stanford had an advantage, Coach Paye elected to rely on the 3-ball; the result- 4 of 21 attempts.  Points in the paint- FGCU 36, Stanford 26.  Stevenson played 25+ minutes (0 for 0 shooting).  Eschmeyer 6 minutes (1 of 1).  Somfai only 6pts.

This loss to a mid-major; a team Stanford should have quickly put away, was a warning sign for how the season would unfold.  FGCU (just like every other team they have played) knew exactly how to defend Stanford and Coach Paye was not been able to adjust then and now.

Certainly, there have been other factors that have impacted the team's performance.  I believe that a healthy Nunu Agara could have been a difference maker in a few of Stanford's losses, but when I step back and take a broader view of the season, the thing that stands out has been this 'lack of adjustment' in the offense.

[stopandpop]

Stanford (still?) on the last 4 in line in ESPN’s bracketology. Net ranking has slipped to 42 which would be 11 seed territory - ESPN has the same 11 seed. So best case right now, they are on the bubble and just barely hanging on. The season isn’t a loss yet, but it is on life support.

Incredibly all 4 last in teams are ACC. 3 of the last 6 games are against these last in teams - UVA, VT and Clemson. I expect they have to at least beat Miami, FSU, and SMU plus 1 of the other three games. They may need to win 2 of those 3; so at least 4-2 plus 1-2 ACC tourney wins or 5-1 with 0-1 ACC tourney wins down the stretch or they are likely out. The good news is the 3 tougher games are all at home, and the 3 easier away teams have been terrible at home (2-16).

3-3 I think means having to win the ACC tournament or at least coming really close.

I'm a little less bullish. I think to be safe (conservatively), they need to win all 6 and then lose to a ranked team in the tourney. If they go 5-1, and lose to a ranked team in the tourney, they will be in danger of not making it. If they go 4-2 and take another loss in the tourney, I don't think they make it. 

Can't believe this is where things stand. Bad losses to FGCU, Ga Tech, and Cal really hurt.

The worst of those losses was to FGCU; a team with a new coach and coming into the game with a poor record.  Instead of drawing up plays to get the ball inside where Stanford had an advantage, Coach Paye elected to rely on the 3-ball; the result- 4 of 21 attempts.  Points in the paint- FGCU 36, Stanford 26.  Stevenson played 25+ minutes (0 for 0 shooting).  Eschmeyer 6 minutes (1 of 1).  Somfai only 6pts.

This loss to a mid-major; a team Stanford should have quickly put away, was a warning sign for how the season would unfold.  FGCU (just like every other team they have played) knew exactly how to defend Stanford and Coach Paye was not been able to adjust then and now.

Certainly, there have been other factors that have impacted the team's performance.  I believe that a healthy Nunu Agara could have been a difference maker in a few of Stanford's losses, but when I step back and take a broader view of the season, the thing that stands out has been this 'lack of adjustment' in the offense.