[skip75]

FWIW (not much), some guy at CBS Sports has Stanford as the last at-large team in the NCAA tourney:

https://www.cbssports.com/college-basket...h-madness/

Joe Lunardi, who certainly has been doing these projections a very long time, lists Stanford as the sixth team to be left out of the tourney (behind Kal, the fifth team to be left out):

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...redictions

It's all kind of ridiculous, imo. But I think I will be watching the selection show a week from today.

More grist for the mill from Jeff Donchess (DRatings) - https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/
Here, Stanford is the 4th team out (and a 1 seed in the NIT).

I think that the men are in a similar position to the women's situation last week - although with a NET rating of 59 vs. the women being at 42 going into the ACC tourney. Like the women were, the men: are on a mini-streak; had a victory over a likely NCAA tourney team in the final regular season game; have a first round ACC game that will probably not move the needle much regarding any bracketology; have a potential 2nd round game that, imo,, could get them a spot in the dance (obviously depending on favorable results from other bubble teams); and a potential 3rd round came that, again imo, could come close to securing a spot.

Stanford's best asset in the eyes of the selection committee is the 5 Quad 1 wins. There are only 33 teams that have at least 5 - and Stanford has the lowest NET rating of any of those. Stanford's worst liability is 3 Quad 3 losses - only 1 team with that many is ranked above them in the NET. Adding 2 (or more?) Quad 1 wins to the resume would obviously do a lot to bolster their chances.

As for watching the selection show - if Stanford loses to Pitt, don't bother; if they lose to NC State, a round of golf is probably better use of your time; if they lose to Virginia, have some optimism, but be prepared to be disappointed; if get past Virginia, be ready to book a flight to an NCAA first-round site (or maybe to Dayton - site of the silly "first 4" games.

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So does this sound right next week?

0-1 wins: out

2 wins (beating NC State): on the bubble

3+ wins (beating Virginia): in

Yeah - I said something similar to you - but you were much more concise.

[skip75]

FWIW (not much), some guy at CBS Sports has Stanford as the last at-large team in the NCAA tourney:

https://www.cbssports.com/college-basket...h-madness/

Joe Lunardi, who certainly has been doing these projections a very long time, lists Stanford as the sixth team to be left out of the tourney (behind Kal, the fifth team to be left out):

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...redictions

It's all kind of ridiculous, imo. But I think I will be watching the selection show a week from today.

More grist for the mill from Jeff Donchess (DRatings) - https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/
Here, Stanford is the 4th team out (and a 1 seed in the NIT).

I think that the men are in a similar position to the women's situation last week - although with a NET rating of 59 vs. the women being at 42 going into the ACC tourney. Like the women were, the men: are on a mini-streak; had a victory over a likely NCAA tourney team in the final regular season game; have a first round ACC game that will probably not move the needle much regarding any bracketology; have a potential 2nd round game that, imo,, could get them a spot in the dance (obviously depending on favorable results from other bubble teams); and a potential 3rd round came that, again imo, could come close to securing a spot.

Stanford's best asset in the eyes of the selection committee is the 5 Quad 1 wins. There are only 33 teams that have at least 5 - and Stanford has the lowest NET rating of any of those. Stanford's worst liability is 3 Quad 3 losses - only 1 team with that many is ranked above them in the NET. Adding 2 (or more?) Quad 1 wins to the resume would obviously do a lot to bolster their chances.

As for watching the selection show - if Stanford loses to Pitt, don't bother; if they lose to NC State, a round of golf is probably better use of your time; if they lose to Virginia, have some optimism, but be prepared to be disappointed; if get past Virginia, be ready to book a flight to an NCAA first-round site (or maybe to Dayton - site of the silly "first 4" games.

---

So does this sound right next week?

0-1 wins: out

2 wins (beating NC State): on the bubble

3+ wins (beating Virginia): in

Yeah - I said something similar to you - but you were much more concise.