[BostonCard]

Yes, I like giving that problem out as it forces you to try to test and falsify your assumptions.  You would be surprised how many people only enter numbers that confirm their hypothesis and never try to refute it.

BC

[BostonCard]

Yes, I like giving that problem out as it forces you to try to test and falsify your assumptions.  You would be surprised how many people only enter numbers that confirm their hypothesis and never try to refute it.

BC

[M T]

You would be surprised how many people ....

I wonder if you might be guilty of anticipating one answer before actually testing it?

[M T]

You would be surprised how many people ....

I wonder if you might be guilty of anticipating one answer before actually testing it?

[BostonCard]

Me personally?  I just watch what they enter and then ask for their hypothesis.  A typical session might go:

2, 4, 8 (the one given)
3, 6, 12
1, 2, 4
10, 20, 40

"OK, got it.  Every number is twice the previous number"

They never try 2, 4, 5 in an attempt to disprove their hypothesis.  From the article accompanying the quiz:

Remarkably, 77 percent of people who have played this game so far have guessed the answer without first hearing a single no. A mere 9 percent heard at least three nos — even though there is no penalty or cost for being told no, save the small disappointment that every human being feels when hearing “no.”

My personal experience is not as bad; I would say a third of people never get a "no", and maybe a quarter never test something other than their original hypothesis (which tends to be that the numbers double) but I am dealing with people who are thinking about going into a career in science, for which falsifying a hypothesis is the bedrock of the scientific method.

BC

[BostonCard]

Me personally?  I just watch what they enter and then ask for their hypothesis.  A typical session might go:

2, 4, 8 (the one given)
3, 6, 12
1, 2, 4
10, 20, 40

"OK, got it.  Every number is twice the previous number"

They never try 2, 4, 5 in an attempt to disprove their hypothesis.  From the article accompanying the quiz:

Remarkably, 77 percent of people who have played this game so far have guessed the answer without first hearing a single no. A mere 9 percent heard at least three nos — even though there is no penalty or cost for being told no, save the small disappointment that every human being feels when hearing “no.”

My personal experience is not as bad; I would say a third of people never get a "no", and maybe a quarter never test something other than their original hypothesis (which tends to be that the numbers double) but I am dealing with people who are thinking about going into a career in science, for which falsifying a hypothesis is the bedrock of the scientific method.

BC

[Hulk01]

If I might. I'd like to discourage the many irrelevant posts in this thread.  Those are any not related to the Baltimore Orioles, as well as any that promote the view there is a cooler team in all of baseball.

Or a more lethal top of the order: Jones, Schoop, Machado, Trumbo, and Davis.  Current ISO powers for those five: .196. .205, .295. .272, .246.  In the last decade, has there been another top of the order with numbers like those?

Thank you and have a good weekend, H.

[Hulk01]

If I might. I'd like to discourage the many irrelevant posts in this thread.  Those are any not related to the Baltimore Orioles, as well as any that promote the view there is a cooler team in all of baseball.

Or a more lethal top of the order: Jones, Schoop, Machado, Trumbo, and Davis.  Current ISO powers for those five: .196. .205, .295. .272, .246.  In the last decade, has there been another top of the order with numbers like those?

Thank you and have a good weekend, H.

[winflop]

From your Iowa Basic Skills tests:

A series begins 10, 12, 14,  .  .  .  .  .
What would be the next logical number in this sequence?

  a.)  2
  b.)  14
  c.)  there would be no next number
  d.)  a puppy

I think this explains the first half of the Rose Bowl

[winflop]

From your Iowa Basic Skills tests:

A series begins 10, 12, 14,  .  .  .  .  .
What would be the next logical number in this sequence?

  a.)  2
  b.)  14
  c.)  there would be no next number
  d.)  a puppy

I think this explains the first half of the Rose Bowl

[fullmetal]

[quote author=fullmetal link=topic=15232.msg165497#msg165497 date=1466792257]
Texas does not approve of playing football in June, July, or even really August...!

Based on what little I know of Texas I am sure they would approve of football 365 days a year.
[/quote]

Only in indoor stadiums and practice fields, I suppose.  The weather here does not play.

[fullmetal]

[quote author=fullmetal link=topic=15232.msg165497#msg165497 date=1466792257]
Texas does not approve of playing football in June, July, or even really August...!

Based on what little I know of Texas I am sure they would approve of football 365 days a year.
[/quote]

Only in indoor stadiums and practice fields, I suppose.  The weather here does not play.

[Mick]

Meanwhile, the Giants will continue just slinking along at 47-27, off everyone's radar because they saved their 26-8 stretch for May to June, after everyone already anointed the Cubs champions for starting the season with that same run.

As of this morning, the Giants have more wins than the Cubs.  Just sayin'

I was at the Giants' game yesterday, a walk-off win by .200 hitting Conor Gillaspie.  The Phillies' pitcher hit three Giants batters in the first three innings.  Umpire says nothing.  Cueto hits one of their batters in the fourth inning, with two out, no one on.  Umpire warns both benches, then squeezes Cueto's strike zone.  Cueto comes unglued, gives up four runs.  Giants claw back.

I actually think the Giants can get better.  After rocky start, Peavy has come around, same with most of the relievers.  Cueto, Samardzija performing better than expected.  Bumgarner, awesome as usual.  Belt has been a revelation this year, his talent has finally caught up to his body.  Pagan and Posey are rounding into form.  Tomlinson was doing great until he got hurt.  Crawford is Mr. Clutch in field and at bat, leading team in RBIs.  Duffy, Panik, Span doing not so well -- I'm thinking they come around.

Bring on the Orioles.  Why not?  We've already spanked the Rangers, Tigers and Royals.  Might as well plow through the rest of the AL... :P 

[Mick]

Meanwhile, the Giants will continue just slinking along at 47-27, off everyone's radar because they saved their 26-8 stretch for May to June, after everyone already anointed the Cubs champions for starting the season with that same run.

As of this morning, the Giants have more wins than the Cubs.  Just sayin'

I was at the Giants' game yesterday, a walk-off win by .200 hitting Conor Gillaspie.  The Phillies' pitcher hit three Giants batters in the first three innings.  Umpire says nothing.  Cueto hits one of their batters in the fourth inning, with two out, no one on.  Umpire warns both benches, then squeezes Cueto's strike zone.  Cueto comes unglued, gives up four runs.  Giants claw back.

I actually think the Giants can get better.  After rocky start, Peavy has come around, same with most of the relievers.  Cueto, Samardzija performing better than expected.  Bumgarner, awesome as usual.  Belt has been a revelation this year, his talent has finally caught up to his body.  Pagan and Posey are rounding into form.  Tomlinson was doing great until he got hurt.  Crawford is Mr. Clutch in field and at bat, leading team in RBIs.  Duffy, Panik, Span doing not so well -- I'm thinking they come around.

Bring on the Orioles.  Why not?  We've already spanked the Rangers, Tigers and Royals.  Might as well plow through the rest of the AL... :P 

[winflop]

As of this morning, the Giants have more wins than the Cubs.  Just sayin'

Cubs 48-26 +0.5
Giants 49-28

See you at the Pac in October for a Cubs-Giants NLCS.  Both teams are head and shoulders above the rest, despite the Cubs being 4-8 over the last couple weeks.

There's a ***LOT*** of baseball left to be played, and the dog days haven't even started yet.  I can't wait to see both teams when they are fully healthy.

[winflop]

As of this morning, the Giants have more wins than the Cubs.  Just sayin'

Cubs 48-26 +0.5
Giants 49-28

See you at the Pac in October for a Cubs-Giants NLCS.  Both teams are head and shoulders above the rest, despite the Cubs being 4-8 over the last couple weeks.

There's a ***LOT*** of baseball left to be played, and the dog days haven't even started yet.  I can't wait to see both teams when they are fully healthy.

[Mick]

[quote author=Mick link=topic=15232.msg165594#msg165594 date=1467031389]
As of this morning, the Giants have more wins than the Cubs.  Just sayin'

Cubs 48-26 +0.5
Giants 49-28

See you at the Pac in October for a Cubs-Giants NLCS.  Both teams are head and shoulders above the rest, despite the Cubs being 4-8 over the last couple weeks.

There's a ***LOT*** of baseball left to be played, and the dog days haven't even started yet.  I can't wait to see both teams when they are fully healthy.
[/quote]


True.  But we're almost through June, so the June Swoon (for those of you old enough to remember the term) hasn't taken hold yet.  In fact, the Giants are on a pace to win 104 games.  They're 2-1 against the Cubs this year, but the Cubs have outscored them 11-7.  Cain had a 5-3 win, Peavy got shelled in an 8-1 loss and Bumgarner won 1-0.

[Mick]

[quote author=Mick link=topic=15232.msg165594#msg165594 date=1467031389]
As of this morning, the Giants have more wins than the Cubs.  Just sayin'

Cubs 48-26 +0.5
Giants 49-28

See you at the Pac in October for a Cubs-Giants NLCS.  Both teams are head and shoulders above the rest, despite the Cubs being 4-8 over the last couple weeks.

There's a ***LOT*** of baseball left to be played, and the dog days haven't even started yet.  I can't wait to see both teams when they are fully healthy.
[/quote]


True.  But we're almost through June, so the June Swoon (for those of you old enough to remember the term) hasn't taken hold yet.  In fact, the Giants are on a pace to win 104 games.  They're 2-1 against the Cubs this year, but the Cubs have outscored them 11-7.  Cain had a 5-3 win, Peavy got shelled in an 8-1 loss and Bumgarner won 1-0.