04-06-2026, 06:16 PM
(04-06-2026, 01:18 PM)82lsju Wrote: my observation is that it is usually better to be the person after the successor to a "legend" than to be the successor....
Usually, but the successor to Steve Jobs did pretty well for himself. Maybe the exception that proves the rule, but when I looked it up, some 35% of CEOs are promoted internally, and typically that happens when the previous guy (or gal) did well, because if the previous person did poorly there usually clamoring for fresh blood.
Interestingly I decided to look it up and found this link:
https://athleticdirectoru.com/articles/c...sel-study/
I’m having trouble opening the original link (bad gateway) but the AI summary (so caveat emptor) says the following:
College Football (FBS): Data shows roughly 16% (or roughly 1 in 6) coaching hires are internal promotions.
Men’s Basketball: Research indicates 17.9% of Division-I head coaching hires since 2014 were internal promotions.
Success Rate: Internal hires are sometimes perceived as a safer choice, and they have historically shown, on average, a 4.02% improvement in winning percentage over their predecessors, though results vary widely.
The "Pipeline": While internal promotions for the top job are low, the pipeline often feeds from lower-level positions to coordinator roles rather than directly to head coach.
Again, considering that internal hires usually follow a successful coaching run, the fact that they are able to improve on their predecessor is surprising.
BC

