[BostonCard]

In any case--if I'm reading the data correctly--UNC has a better ranking than Stanford in Offensive Efficiency, Draw Controls and Elo Rank (which has to do with player skill?). Stanford is ranked better in Defensive Efficiency and Save Percentage.

Having said that Stanford scored 9 and 8 goals in the previous two meetings, while UNC scored 18 and 12.

So my question for the experts: Besides somehow slowing down Chloe Humphrey, what will it take for Stanford to pull off a h.uge upset on Thursday?

No idea of whether it is somehow customized, but ELO is a pretty standard way of ranking that basically looks at head-to-head match-ups as they occur and updates the ranking based on how expected or surprising the result was. It was originally devised to rank chess players. Basically, ELO points will transfer from the losing team to the winning team, but the amount is based on how the result compares to the expected: if a weaker team pulls off an upset, they gain more ELO points than the favorite would have gained if they had won.

Here’s a description from Lacrosse reference:

https://lacrossereference.com/2017/04/25...-lacrosse/

BC

[BostonCard]

In any case--if I'm reading the data correctly--UNC has a better ranking than Stanford in Offensive Efficiency, Draw Controls and Elo Rank (which has to do with player skill?). Stanford is ranked better in Defensive Efficiency and Save Percentage.

Having said that Stanford scored 9 and 8 goals in the previous two meetings, while UNC scored 18 and 12.

So my question for the experts: Besides somehow slowing down Chloe Humphrey, what will it take for Stanford to pull off a h.uge upset on Thursday?

No idea of whether it is somehow customized, but ELO is a pretty standard way of ranking that basically looks at head-to-head match-ups as they occur and updates the ranking based on how expected or surprising the result was. It was originally devised to rank chess players. Basically, ELO points will transfer from the losing team to the winning team, but the amount is based on how the result compares to the expected: if a weaker team pulls off an upset, they gain more ELO points than the favorite would have gained if they had won.

Here’s a description from Lacrosse reference:

https://lacrossereference.com/2017/04/25...-lacrosse/

BC

[Papa John]

Thanks for the education, BC. I knew about the chess ranking and always figured ELO was some kind of position-by-position comparison for team sports. Looks like I was way off.

[Papa John]

Thanks for the education, BC. I knew about the chess ranking and always figured ELO was some kind of position-by-position comparison for team sports. Looks like I was way off.

[Bruce Wang]

I believe in the second game Stanford face guarded Chloe Humphrey. She still had 4 goals and 2 assists. Without the face guard she had 8 goals and 2 assists. I expect to see the face guard again, but UNC will be ready for it and they may just play 6 v 6, which could be an advantage for UNC if Stanford puts their best defender on Humphrey. 

The problem with face guarding Chloe Humphrey is that UNC fields 4 other players on offense that are all-americans.  Given the narrower goal differential in the 2nd game, it seems face guarding her is the least bad option.

The best strategy against Miss Humphrey is to get her to grad transfer to Stanford.

[Bruce Wang]

I believe in the second game Stanford face guarded Chloe Humphrey. She still had 4 goals and 2 assists. Without the face guard she had 8 goals and 2 assists. I expect to see the face guard again, but UNC will be ready for it and they may just play 6 v 6, which could be an advantage for UNC if Stanford puts their best defender on Humphrey. 

The problem with face guarding Chloe Humphrey is that UNC fields 4 other players on offense that are all-americans.  Given the narrower goal differential in the 2nd game, it seems face guarding her is the least bad option.

The best strategy against Miss Humphrey is to get her to grad transfer to Stanford.

[Papa John]

<snip>

The best strategy against Miss Humphrey is to get her to grad transfer to Stanford.

If Stanford and UNC were high schools in Florida, it would be possible for Chloe to transfer before Thursday!

[Papa John]

<snip>

The best strategy against Miss Humphrey is to get her to grad transfer to Stanford.

If Stanford and UNC were high schools in Florida, it would be possible for Chloe to transfer before Thursday!

[Bruce Wang]

Goalie Lucy Pearson named DI National Defensive Player of the Week

https://gostanford.com/news/2026/05/12/p...onal-honor

[Bruce Wang]

Goalie Lucy Pearson named DI National Defensive Player of the Week

https://gostanford.com/news/2026/05/12/p...onal-honor

[Bruce Wang]

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DYSLA1wjNw_/?igsh=Zzk4ZDlnY3BweDg3

In this Stanford Lacrosse Instagram reel about her capstone project, the team's leading scorer says she will be getting her Master's in ME next year.  She has one more year of eligibility left so hopefully she's playing another season.

[Bruce Wang]

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DYSLA1wjNw_/?igsh=Zzk4ZDlnY3BweDg3

In this Stanford Lacrosse Instagram reel about her capstone project, the team's leading scorer says she will be getting her Master's in ME next year.  She has one more year of eligibility left so hopefully she's playing another season.