(10-28-2023, 11:41 AM)lex24 Wrote: I don’t get either the vitriol or the sarcasm. Is it that he went to Cal? He’s respected. Do you disagree? Kapler got fired. By his friend and champion. So, something was wrong. Do you agree? (You mentioned Stripling. I reference Webb and Yaz. Two of their most respected players. Webb had a near Cy Young season. Not to mention Zaidi saying they weren’t ready for most important games of year.)
Despite your narrative, I’ve seen no such predictions. We all know they need to bring in some better talent. Maybe they will maybe they won’t. There has been the suggestion that Melvin may help in that regard. Do you have proof otherwise?
If your concern is he will ignore analytics, rest assured. He won’t. Not even close. Spent 11 years with Beane. He’s well steeped in metrics.
Openers. Yes you have the numbers. But how did it work out overall - as their bullpen ran out of gas? The issue was always sustainability. Manaea started throwing well out of the pen months before he was reinserted into the rotation. And what about Beck. Would he not have been a capable starter?
And Matt Williams is nobody’s mini me.
I’ll admit my bias on two fronts. First, I never liked Kapler. Glad he’s gone. Second, I wanted Melvin from the get go. No other candidate comes close to his combination of experience, success, knowledge of Zaidi and he’s balanced. Will lean on analytics like all do. But won’t be completely dependent upon them.
Who did you want to get the job?
In any event, come March we can put up our predictions. As we have last couple.
No vitriol and just a soupçon of sarcasm. Just pointing out the facts as I saw them. And I didn't hate Kapler, but I didn't forget his 107 win season, like everyone else seems to have, or the dramatic improvement that most of the hitters and pitchers had on that team. Or the fact that the Giants would have gone to the playoffs if Posey had played during Kapler's first season. Instead, they got Joey Bart and missed the playoffs by a game.
But Kapler had to get fired. Underperforming players were complaining because -- you know -- it was Kapler's fault that they were poor fielders and poor hitters. Much, much easier to complain about the manager and the clubhouse atmosphere than to look into the camera and take responsibility for stinking up the game. That's true for Stripling, who flat out sucked. That's true for Yaz, who hasn't played to 2019-2021 form over the last few years, because he's aged into an average player. And in a way, it's true for Matt Cain, er, I mean Logan Webb, who had the least run support in the major leagues for any pitcher with at least 20 starts. He's not going to throw his non-hitting teammates under the bus. And just as an aside, I don't think of the 11-13 Logan Webb as a Cy Young candidate. ESPN is projecting the top ten Cy Young vote receipients and Webb is not on it. And if you're Farhan and reporting to team ownership, you absolutely throw the manager under the bus -- much more digestible than saying "Kapler overachieved with my mediocre players." If you play your cards right, and get a beloved manager, you might even get a new three year contract out of it.
And I like that Melvin went to Cal, BTW. Where did
that come from? I'm not anti-Cal. I was equally happy that my sons applied to Cal and didn't apply to USC. That's a point in his favor for me. It's one reason why I keep pumping up Jeff Kent for the HoF -- which he clearly deserves, and probably won't get, due to personality reasons. And I'm a brobdingnagian fan of Mark Canha (who also attended my kid's high school). So did DLew and Tyler Walker. And I know about Jensen, Chapman, Messersmith, Maloney, etc. and like I've posted here before, one of my granddads went to Cal.
I don't have proof that Melvin will or will not bring in free agents, but he doesn't seem experienced in getting free agents. By his own admission, that wasn't the way that the A's did business. He took a 93 win Mariners team, and turned it into a 63 win Mariners team, after which he was fired. With the DBacks, he had one 90 win season, the others were 82 or less, and he was 12-17 when he got fired. And you have to admit...the Padres are LOADED and the big free agents were mainly on that team when Melvin arrived. And they had to win 14 of 16 to finish with 82 wins.
I don't think Melvin (career managerial win percentage, .515) is all that great, because he was basically the opposite of Kapler (career managerial win percentage, .526 -- and .543 with the Giants). He took a loaded team and underachieved. Kapler took a team of mediocre players and overachieved. Their results were nearly identical. Melvin, to me, is like Bochy without the postseason chops. And to me, Matt Williams is a mini-Me Melvin. He managed for two years, had a great first team with the Nationals (which lost the NLDS to Bochy and the Giants despite having a superior regular season record)), and his second Nat'ls team dropped 13 games from the prior year.
Look, I get why Kapler was fired. His boss underachieved, so Farhan fired Kapler. And Yaz complaining...he's had two great years with the Giants (.852 and .968 OPS) and three average or worse years (.768, .697, .775). He went from being a stud in Kapler's first year, and 25 HRs in Kapler's second year to...hurt a lot and not as good in his 31 year old and 32 year old years. Yaz (not a great OF, BTW) is not going to improve as a 33 year old, nor is Stripling, nor is Haniger.
I didn't have a favorite manager. I thought Kapler was unique and managed very well and got the most out of the players. I'm not anti-Melvin or anti-Steven Vogt or anti-whoever-else-they-interviewed. I just don't think Melvin is an Amazingly Great Manager. I think he's good. Fine. But lots of people are treating him like he walks on water. And if that's the case, I want to see 90+ wins, which Melvin has hit six times in 20 seasons. Or at least 88 wins, which would be Kapler's average with the Giants.
But I'm open-minded. If they sign a bunch of high-level free agents, I'll buy into Melvin-as-savior.