(03-24-2020, 06:22 AM)Farm93 Wrote: POTUS is right. The USA is not built for a shutdown. If he understood that in January he should have mobilized the USA's great resources in the way Korea did in January. Get industry to test aggressively from day #1 because, as he now claims he knows, the USA absolutely can't wait to take the shutdown route. Sigh.
Unfortunately, as has been proved over and over again, mobilizing great resources takes time. Korea mobilized resources that they have maintained in readiness, had been forged by SARS and were resourced to do what was needed. We did not have those resources standing by. Industry can't do anything from day 1 unless they already know how to do it, have done it, and are allowed to do it their way, none of which applies to the USA in this case. We are in fact lucky that Roche and Abbott Labs have been able to respond with approved (emergency) tests for their PCR products as soon as they did. You can't just snap your fingers and bring forth a Public Health Service adequate to this task even if you are POTUS and have all the money in the world, as we and a lot of other nations are in the process of demonstrating.
We all would prefer that the whole problem just go away, but it isn't going to do that. There is lots of to and fro here about when it will be appropriate to start letting the economy "return to normal", whatever that will mean. I am pretty sure nobody really knows much about that, as we have a novel virus with largely unknown characteristics. There are also many paths back to "normal", all with their own pluses and minuses. How will this be decided? One would hope for a coherent, well thought out plan that could be presented to the public. It may not be a "good" plan. It may fail, or not produce anything like an optimal result, but it would at least be a rational plan. Unfortunately, we probably aren't going to get that. It will be a happening I'm afraid. If it happens soon, I greatly fear that we will not yet have any warning systems in place to determine if we are putting ourselves at risk again. I see no signs (or even a recognition of the need) that we are developing a capability to track, trace, and quarantine a significant number of people (the dance). Without that, the risk is high that we will have subsequent damaging outbreaks.